Markets

Browse open questions, filter by category, and jump into a forecast.

Will scientists announce discovery of a biosignature or chemical evidence of past life in samples from Mars by December 2026?

Community —Hybrid 12%94 forecastsResolves 11/30/2026

Will the European Medicines Agency approve a new CRISPR gene-editing therapy for clinical use by November 2026?

Community —Hybrid 72%97 forecastsResolves 11/29/2026

Geopolitics·OPEN

Will Iceland's government formally initiate EU membership negotiations by end of 2026?

Community —Hybrid 28%102 forecastsResolves 11/28/2026

Will the Federal Reserve maintain its benchmark interest rate unchanged at all scheduled meetings through December 2026?

Community —Hybrid 8%103 forecastsResolves 11/28/2026

Will North American railway operators deploy solar track systems on at least 100 miles of active rail by end of 2026?

Community —Hybrid 12%104 forecastsResolves 11/13/2026

Technology·OPEN

Will Meta and Anthropic announce a binding partnership agreement involving AI development or investment by December 2026?

Community —Hybrid 22%104 forecastsResolves 11/28/2026

Will the FDA approve a new single-dose cholesterol treatment for commercial use by November 2026?

Community —Hybrid 32%103 forecastsResolves 11/28/2026

Technology·OPEN

Will a major tech company announce a fully autonomous humanoid robot deployment in commercial manufacturing by November 2026?

Community —Hybrid 28%104 forecastsResolves 11/12/2026

Will the FDA approve a new monoclonal antibody treatment for Alzheimer's disease by October 2026?

Community —Hybrid 72%104 forecastsResolves 10/28/2026

Geopolitics·OPEN

Will China and the Philippines reach a maritime boundary agreement or joint development zone accord by December 2026?

Community —Hybrid 25%103 forecastsResolves 11/27/2026

Will the UN Climate Change Conference COP31 produce a binding agreement on carbon pricing mechanisms by November 2026?

Community —Hybrid 32%103 forecastsResolves 11/27/2026

Will the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by at least 0.25% at its September 2026 policy meeting?

Community —Hybrid 42%104 forecastsResolves 9/28/2026

Will England implement new water rationing measures or emergency restrictions in at least three regions by November 2026?

Community —Hybrid 72%104 forecastsResolves 11/12/2026

Will the US-Venezuela oil deal result in Trump administration control of at least 50 billion barrels by end of Q4 2026?

Community —Hybrid 8%103 forecastsResolves 11/27/2026

Will the FDA approve the new pancreatic cancer drug for full clinical use by October 2026?

Community —Hybrid 58%104 forecastsResolves 10/28/2026

Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Telescope successfully launch and reach orbit by December 2026?

Community —Hybrid 72%105 forecastsResolves 11/27/2026

Technology·OPEN

Will the UK Parliament pass legislation restricting AI voice cloning by end of 2026?

Community —Hybrid 32%105 forecastsResolves 11/27/2026

Will Milo Yiannopoulos successfully challenge his deportation from the United States?

Community —Hybrid 22%105 forecastsResolves 11/27/2026

Geopolitics·OPEN

Will Iceland vote to approve restarting EU membership negotiations?

Community —Hybrid 38%105 forecastsResolves 9/5/2026